Research, guides, and insights on AI displacement, upskilling, and compliance — backed by the Crystal Ball Intelligence Database.
Research14 September 202613 min read
Apollo's AI paper finds a 6.7% decline in real wage growth in 11 high-exposure occupations. Its robustness check gives 1.89% and 1.74% at cutoffs of 0.4 and 0.6, and says 6.7% sits between them.
Research12 September 20269 min read
The 55% in this week's AI layoff coverage comes from an Orgvue survey fielded February to March 2025. It measures 55% of the 39% who made AI-driven cuts, and it carries no date in the story.
Research10 September 20269 min read
A think tank rebuilt techUK's 40,200-job projection from 20 planning applications and got 10,400. Both sides use the same metric. The government calls it misleading.
Research8 September 20269 min read
McKinsey's 2025 survey had 32% expecting AI head count cuts. Its 2026 survey has 14% reporting them, and 39% expecting them next year. Same survey, same cohort.
Research6 September 20269 min read
BLS revised July 2026 payrolls up 44,000, from -23,000 to +21,000. The same August release has its own -23,000, in information, and never uses the word AI.
Research4 September 202610 min read
Revelio Labs reports AI-exposed occupations down 6%, and 19% for workers aged 22 to 25, alongside AI-exposed firms cutting fewer staff. Challenger puts AI fourth for August and first for 2026.
Research2 September 202611 min read
Oracle's FY2026 10-K names AI as a cause of workforce reduction, twice. The four Oracle layoff figures in circulation measure four different things, and one is unsourced.
Research31 August 202610 min read
Salesforce's Q2 FY27 filing reports 7.0 billion Agentic Work Units. Its own definition makes that a count of discrete AI-executed tasks, not a headcount number.
Research27 August 202611 min read
HP's own SEC filings tie a 4,000-6,000 headcount cut to AI adoption. The only mechanism they name is a voluntary retirement offer for US staff aged 55 and over.
Research25 August 202610 min read
Stanford now puts employment for 22-to-25-year-olds in AI-exposed jobs 19% below a kept-pace path. Coverage pairs that with 13% from last year. On the same measure, last year was 15%.
Research21 August 20269 min read
The most-quoted AI layoff figure counts employers who named AI in an announcement. The same report keeps a second, hedged category for a contested case. It holds 12 people.
Research17 August 20268 min read
Andon Labs published the case on 14 August 2026. The AI logged 6 of 17 late arrivals, needed a human prompt to decide, and people reviewed and delivered the termination.
Research15 August 20268 min read
In June, Veritone told the SEC its workforce reduction would be substantially complete by late July 2026. The 10-Q it filed on 13 August 2026 says the first half of 2027.
Research13 August 20269 min read
A Richmond Fed brief published 12 August 2026 finds the job-finding decline is concentrated among strongly attached workers, particularly in AI-exposed occupations.
Research11 August 20269 min read
Rapid7 and N-able each filed an 8-K on 10 August 2026 disclosing workforce cuts. Both CEOs invoked AI. Neither legally binding disclosure mentions it. Why that gap matters.
Research9 August 20268 min read
BLS reported payrolls fell 23,000 in July 2026. Its own confidence interval on that monthly change is plus or minus 122,000. What the report can and cannot support.
Research7 August 20269 min read
The New York Fed says 1% of service firms laid off workers because of AI. Challenger says AI was cited in 33% of July cuts. Four reasons the numbers cannot be compared.
Research3 August 20268 min read
The ONS surveyed 38,637 UK businesses and the Fed asked nearly 750 executives. Both find adoption rising steeply and aggregate employment holding. The gap is the finding.
Research1 August 20268 min read
ADP Research and Stanford measured pay attached to individual tasks in IT jobs. Five declined after 2022, advisory work held. The sample is ~7,000 workers, and that matters.
Compliance30 July 20268 min read
The Digital Omnibus took force on 27 July and pushed high-risk AI obligations to December 2027. Article 50 transparency was left untouched and applies from 2 August 2026.
Research26 July 20268 min read
Amazon cut staff inside its own AGI unit in July 2026. If proximity to AI is not what protects you, what does? The payroll evidence points at task structure, not job titles.
Compliance12 July 20268 min read
The AI literacy duty has applied since 2 February 2025 and becomes enforceable on 2 August 2026. What the Digital Omnibus actually deferred to 2027 — and what it did not.
Research12 July 20268 min read
What 1,822 documented evidence entries across 506 companies say about where AI displacement is actually happening first — and where it has not started yet.
Guide12 July 20267 min read
Most AI training is bought on faith and never measured. A practical framework: baseline first, then reclaimed hours, capability artifacts, and risk reduction.
Methodology12 July 20266 min read
Most AI training treats everyone the same, which is why most of it fails. The four maturity levels, how to self-diagnose yours, and what moves you up one.
Behind the Scenes12 July 20267 min read
Inside the evidence base behind the Protocol: what a documented evidence entry is, how exposure scores are computed, and what the data can and cannot tell you.
Guide12 July 20267 min read
You do not need to write code to be AI-literate. A practical four-week starting point for managers, analysts, and other knowledge workers — no engineering required.